OPINION
Race 4: Horse #4, Ted Oliver, to win.
Horse #1, Jury, to place. Exacta: Horses #4 & #1.
Race 5:
Horse #1, Monsajem Accrete, to win.
Horse #5, Pocket Prince, to place.
Exacta: Horses #1 and #5.
Race 7:
Hubcap, to place.
Race 8: Horse #11, Bellanza, across the board (win/place/show).
I had a big day at the track today. Only made a single bet. Bet $10 to win, $10 to place, and $10 to show on Ted Oliver and he won at 20-1 odds. Made a little over 300 bucks. Have been betting on Ted Oliver for about three years.
The first time I bet on him I was at the track at Golden Gate Fields in Berkeley and I bet $60 to win on him and he won by a lot. It only paid 2-1 and wasn’t a great payout, but it showed that if you had balls you could make some money on this horse. There were a few other times he won or placed for me. When they run him for too high of a purse in the first few races he doesn’t do as well as when they run him for a lower purse and later in the day.
The best thing about him is that when he is on that day, he sometimes can win by a lot.
His past before this race I had bet $30 on him to show , but he came in 4th. I like that he had raced recently and been competitive. Unlike other horses I won a lot on before (Maggie’s Gold for instance) – Ted Oliver seems to place higher the more often they run him, rather than after layoffs.
He had a crummy starting position that time ( on the outside or the inside). Whereas this time he was in the 3 or 4 spots, where its much easier to get a clear lane to run. Most of the time at GGF I recommend to bet on horses starting in the 3 or 4 spot, and avoid betting on horses positioned on the inside or outside positions.
Race 8
Off at: 5:00 Race Type: Starter Allowance
Age Restriction: Three Year Old and Upward
Purse: $10,500
Distance: Five Furlongs On The Turf
Track Condition: Firm
Winning Time: 57.70
Pgm # – Horse
Win
Place
Show
3
Ted Oliver 40.80 14.40 6.60
4
Whilly Pink 8.40 5.40
8
Preacher’s Bluff 4.40
Only betting races 2 through 6. Do not like the other races.
Race 2- Siberian Olympiad
Morning odds are 6-1
Betting win/place/show
Has 2 wins in 4 races this year.
Race 3 – Count on Me
Morning line odds 5-2
Am betting win/place/show
Race 4 – Giannonatti
4-1
Betting win/place
This horse is always in the money.
Race 5- Triple Drama
Betting win/place
Race 6- Admiral Boom
8-1
Tends to win sprints.
win/place/show
We are hot lately at the track and are up $500 since having started betting again 2 weeks ago. Had a large payout on a personal favorite named Ted Oliver recently, among others. We look for horses that can realistically win, yet have good payout.
Race 1 – Horse 2 Count On Me 4-1 odds (to win). Consistent check earner.
Race 2 – Horse 6 Vegas Luck 20-1 odds (to win/place/show). Either does really well or very poorly. Won 2 of its last 6 races, so I like these odds.
Race 3- Horse 6 Pineda 8-5 odds (to win). Finished second in 3 of 4 career starts. Dropping to a lower level today gives a better chance.
Race 4- Horse 7 New Karma 2-1 (to win). Won last two races. Going with the favorite here again for a change. I like the outside draw.
Race 5 – Horse 10 Bella Ronski 6-1 (to place). Finished second on this course twice prior.
Race 6- Horse 3 Dance For Me Baby 4-1 (to win). Won last time. Going with the hot hand here.
Race 7- Horse 5 Crusher 7-2 (to win, place, and show). Earned checks in last 4 tries, as well as in 5 of its last 6 efforts.
Race 8- Horse 10 Papa Pagosa 20-1 (to show). Dam has five winners from 5 foils.
Race 9- Horse 4 Heartofthetemple 8-1 (to win, place, and show). Won last race here in May.
Vinnie the Greek bets exclusively on GGF races and has come out ahead there over a three year period. Vinnie generously offers his picks to us here at Groin out of the goodness of his garlic-y Italian heart. He tends to favor longshots in general. He keeps his bets fairly simple.